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Another Rigged ABC/WashPo poll puts Crooked Hillary in lead, so Trump is winning

Tom Winnifrith
Thursday 3 November 2016

Stocks are up and so is the Peso as an ABC/WashPo poll has come out showing Crooked Hillary on 47%, 2 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump. The prior poll had the Crooked One and Trump on a tie. But... it is again rigged as it massively over-samples Dems. Why does anyone take such silliness seriously?

The sample is 37/30/29 Dem/GOP/Independent which as I have noted before is just plain wrong by a country mile. It is oversampling Dems and undersampling Republicans and Independents (who appear to be marginal backers of Trump). Unwind that bias and Trump is 2-3% ahead.

Throw in shy Trumpsters and even this national poll would start to back up State poll such as the knockout one from North Carolina earlier today as well as shock New Hampshire poll showing the Donald, for the first time, taking a lead, albeit of just 1%.

The unadjusted ABC polls just are not fit for purpose - make no mistake if voting was today and that is even before the new shocking news regarding the FBI and the Clinton Foundation, Trump would be winning.

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About Tom Winnifrith
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Tom Winnifrith is the editor of TomWinnifrith.com. When he is not harvesting olives in Greece, he is (planning to) raise goats in Wales.
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