673 days ago
Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) talks of its “bonds” as if it is a proper grown up company. Its Bonds” are a death spiral and today we have more evidence of how the (unnamed) provider is coining it in. Lovely jubbly for it.
827 days ago
Analyst and writer Kevin Muir says that investors seem to be having problems understanding the current economy and inflation: those in charge are arguing that this past month had no inflation. The reality is that month over month figures may be indicating that inflation has peaked. Kevin says that this may cause the Fed may to be less hawkish than most investors are expecting.
1304 days ago
Michael Oliver warns that the charts tell you that equity markets are topping and points out that the large leading stocks are waning in these indexes. This could be a sign of trouble and evidence of a gradual decline into a bear market. He discusses how bonds are usually inverse to equities, and they are watching for a counter-trend rally. If significant funds get nervous, they will move to treasury bonds and gold.
1326 days ago
Trader Francis Hunt “The Market Sniper” says that gold is acting as the bellwether for the collapsing global economy. Gold and silver will soon be unleashed, not unlike the recent major moves in palladium and rhodium. He says that a lot is happening behind the scenes that will affect precious metals, and he looks closely at the macro picture surrounding the markets and bonds.
1376 days ago
Money Manager Steven Van Metre admits that his macro thesis can be wrong in the short to intermediate-term but believes it will play out as interest rates collapse to zero. Those that are bullish on gold miners should also be bullish on bonds. He expects the GDX to fall and explains the relationship between it and the TLT. He believes bonds will rally, GDX will drop much lower, and then he can flip his portfolio into the junior miners. And falling mining equities often are a leading indicator of a coming liquidity event and a move lower by the broader equities.
1467 days ago
Fund manager John Hathaway of Sprott argues that traditional portfolio weightings no longer work. Bonds today are return-free risk, which opens the door for gold since something has to replace bonds. He says that some large pension fund advisors are considering gold as a risk mitigator.
1547 days ago
One of the true highlights on the July online MineProphets shares conference was, in my view, my intervew with David Scott of Andrews Gwynne. When we did that interview, David said he would let me know when you he went negative on bonds and called an end to the 35 year bull market. This is that call.
2114 days ago
Like London and Capital Finance (LCF) which has now collapsed into administration and is under FCA investigation, Blackmore Bond Plc also offers high yield bonds. It is currently offering 3 Year loans offering 7.9% every year with interest paid quarterly and 5 year bonds offering 9.9% every year paid quarterly. LCF’s 14,000 bondholders now face an almost certain capital loss on their “safe” investments
2916 days ago
Shares may be zooming in the Trump rally but libertarian gold bug ( and all round super hero) Peter Schiff does not think it will last or is sustainable. But the first casualty of the bonds sell off will be commercial real estate warns Schiff in his latest podcast.
2930 days ago
The reference to Lego and the Daily Mail is HERE. In today's podcast I look at four bubbles that are bursting in a demonstrable way: bonds, residential property, crowdfunding - where the returns are shockingly bad - and health wristbands.
3038 days ago
Moody's has downgraded its ratings on the junk bonds of Avanti Communications warning bond holders that they would probably get just 35-65% of their cash back. In that case the equity is worthless - note the explicit warning that Avanti will face a cash crisis potentially within weeks. Moody's states viz a viz the bonds " Moody's sees a default by Avanti over the next 6-12 months as almost inevitable." On that basis the target price for Avanti shares has to be ZERO. Sell while you can.
3610 days ago
George Papandreou is back in the game in Greece. This is big news and in this podcast I suggest a small bet on Greek equities on bonds might be in order as a result. Do elections matter for equity investors? I discuss both Greece and also the UK election in May.
4041 days ago
Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP) is taking on yet more debt with a $50 million bond offering today. The statement made me raise my eyebrows once or twice. I would not buy the shares myself but nor would I short but if forced to choose then at today’s price I’d sell. I observe.
4224 days ago
This was in many ways my favourite part of UKInvestor Show 2013. Together with two good friends we chatted 100% without rehearsal on UK residential and commercial property, the death of the High street, the UK economy, Alliance Pharma, Domino's Pizza, share prices, Margaret Thatcher and much more. Leslau and Wray are always inspirational for me. And I had a ball.
4484 days ago
After any bear run in shares some folks always grab headlines by saying we have seen “The Death of Equities.” Heck, you have lost your shirt it sounds believable. And so when major bond investor Bill Gross proclaimed the Death of Equities on August 1st he grabbed the headlines. Before you rush out to buy bonds (a really hugely overvalued asset class) perhaps look back in history.
